Extreme Enginerding

Science, politics, and general geekiness, oh my!

Recent Blog Posts

Alberta 2019 Election Post-mortem
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Alberta 2019 Election Post-mortem
Well that was fun!How did I do?For more than a year now I've been tracking Alberta election polls with the hope of developing a reasonably accurate prediction model. Overall, I'm happy to report that the party I predicted in the lead won in 80 out of 87 races, and my riding qualifiers broke ...
Published at Extreme Enginerding
London Instant Runoff Breakdown
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London Instant Runoff Breakdown
London (Ontario) just had its first election using instant-runoff balloting. As I've mentioned before, I'm very interested in different forms of electoral reform, so as a new resident of London I was intrigued as to how the vote would work out.London's system is a bit unusual inasmuch as voters c...
Published at Extreme Enginerding
London City Council
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London City Council
Wow it's been a while since my last post. My apologies!A principal reason for this is that I've moved - I'm no longer an Edmontonian, and am now a Londoner! London Ontario, that is. This almost definitely means I won't stop posts about Edmonton, but does mean that I'll be increasing my Ontario co...
Published at Extreme Enginerding
Ontario Election Wrap-up
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The 2018 Ontario General Election is over, and if your team won then congratulations to you!Over the last month or so I've been tracking the election polls and testing out a few different ideas in order to improve a general model that I'll end up using for the upcoming Alberta election. Of c...
Published at Extreme Enginerding
Alberta Electoral Districts
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A few months ago, the Alberta Electoral Boundaries Commission released its report with recommendations on how to redistrict the province for the 2019 election. As I discussed before, this is an important process that occurs every eight to ten years, and is necessary for keeping the provincia...
Published at Extreme Enginerding
Edmonton Election 2017
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Edmonton Election 2017
Another election has come and gone, and apart from a handful of new faces the biggest news is all the new stats! Let's take a look:First of all, turnout was abysmal. A total of 194,826 people voted, resulting in a voter turnout of 31.5%. The best (blue) and worst (red) areas of the city in terms ...
Published at Extreme Enginerding
Edmonton City Council Gender Parity
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Edmonton City Council Gender Parity
Back in October I took a quick look at the success rates of female candidates getting into city council. In 2013, 22% of candidates were female, but only one out of the twelve council seats ended up being held by a woman. The aim of that post was to investigate some of the source of the gend...
Published at Extreme Enginerding
Next Game Wins?
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(Subtitle: Which Game Should You Win? Part 3)Three years ago, my friend Andrew pitched in to the blog and asked which game in the playoffs was most worth winning. The results were a bit inconclusive, but from it he developed a database of all playoff outcomes since 1943, so a year later I looked ...
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How often does the best team win the championship?
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How often does the best team win the championship?
Imagine we have a four team single-elimination tournament. Team A is good enough that you'd expect them to win about 80% of all games, Team B ought to win about 60%, Team C should win 40%, and Team D ought to win about 20% of games (against random opponents). If we seeded a single elimination tou...
Published at Extreme Enginerding